Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x China tariff agreement by November 10?No | buy | 125.93 | $0.270 | $34 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 317.68 |
| $0.378 |
| $120 |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 2 ET?Yes | buy | 299.15 | $0.201 | $60 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?Yes | buy | 54.46 | $0.367 | $20 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?Yes | buy | 296.35 | $0.337 | $100 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.110 | $30 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 132.61 | $0.460 | $61 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?No | buy | 121.21 | $0.330 | $40 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?Yes | buy | 246.08 | $0.244 | $60 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?Yes | buy | 165.87 | $0.241 | $40 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?No | buy | 465.05 | $0.129 | $60 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?No | buy | 349.14 | $0.286 | $100 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 428.57 | $0.006 | $2.57 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.035 | $15 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.730 | $19.72 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Yes | buy | 37.14 | $0.350 | $13 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 111.76 | $0.420 | $46.94 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Yes | sell | 41.17 | $0.130 | $5.35 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?No | buy | 13.79 | $0.290 | $4 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.012 | $1.54 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.420 | $40 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 178.57 | $0.240 | $42.86 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?No | buy | 16 | $0.250 | $4 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.18 | $0.170 | $7 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen on September 16 ET?No | buy | 58.19 | $0.172 | $10 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Probability" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.570 | $60 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?No | buy | 105.7 | $0.568 | $60 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Bill Clinton be named in the Epstein survivors' list?Yes | sell | 64.51 | $0.290 | $18.71 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 250.06 | $0.031 | $7.75 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.160 | $40 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.250 | $31.25 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.140 | $3.5 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | sell | 472.35 | $0.033 | $15.42 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 108.1 | $0.190 | $20.54 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 102.56 | $0.210 | $21.54 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 15?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 20+ times during 9-11 memorial event?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Al-Qaeda" during 9-11 memorial event?Yes | buy | 17.95 | $0.557 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?No | buy | 444.44 | $0.090 | $40 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Vladimir" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Yes | buy | 22.94 | $0.872 | $20 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Bill Clinton be named in the Epstein survivors' list?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Sep 10, 2025 |