Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.19 |
| $0.840 |
| $1.14 |
| +$0.14 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 42.28 | $0.047 | $0.57 | -$1.43 |
| buy |
| 2.22 |
| $0.900 |
| $2 |
| Feb 16, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 31.43 | $0.064 | $2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 42.28 | $0.047 | $2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.119 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 135.88 | $0.015 | $2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |