Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | sell | 2.84K | $0.999 | $2.83K | Feb 19, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.07K |
| $0.003 |
| $9.2 |
| Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 3.07K | $0.400 | $1.23K | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | sell | 5.72K | $0.214 | $1.23K | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 5.72K | $0.969 | $5.54K | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by February 12?Yes | buy | 5.54K | $0.986 | $5.46K | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in January 2026?No | buy | 8.7K | $0.999 | $8.7K | Jan 29, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.08K | $0.987 | $5.02K | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 5.02K | $0.923 | $4.63K | Jan 21, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.74K | $0.978 | $4.63K | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?Yes | buy | 799.11 | $0.990 | $791.12 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia declare war by Dec 31?No | buy | 334.53 | $0.965 | $322.82 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 766.2 | $0.930 | $712.57 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 791.11 | $0.900 | $712 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 788.54 | $0.890 | $701.8 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 785.21 | $0.890 | $698.84 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 780.87 | $0.900 | $702.78 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 1.56K | $0.898 | $1.4K | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.940 | $1.78K | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.52K | $0.151 | $380.47 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.660 | $1K | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 964.99 | $0.650 | $627.04 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.7K | $0.290 | $1.65K | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.7K | $0.650 | $3.71K | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?No | sell | 4.05K | $0.999 | $4.05K | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?No | buy | 3.83K | $0.993 | $3.81K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?No | buy | 222 | $0.988 | $219.34 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 3.96K | $0.996 | $3.95K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.96K | $0.747 | $2.96K | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | sell | 3.86K | $0.271 | $1.05K | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 3.86K | $0.290 | $1.12K | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?Yes | buy | 2.67K | $0.999 | $2.66K | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.990 | $3K | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?No | sell | 3.15K | $0.999 | $3.15K | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?No | sell | 3.15K | $0.999 | $3.14K | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?No | buy | 3.15K | $0.954 | $3K | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No | sell | 3K | $0.990 | $2.97K | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No | buy | 3K | $0.955 | $2.86K | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting?Yes | buy | 445.48 | $0.998 | $444.59 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?No | buy | 444.59 | $0.997 | $443.26 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will PARIVISION win The International 2025 Tournament?No | buy | 441.04 | $0.798 | $351.88 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 3.9 | $0.973 | $3.79 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.42K | $0.800 | $1.93K | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | sell | 2.3K | $0.999 | $2.3K | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.991 | $1.1K | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | buy | 203 | $0.983 | $199.55 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | buy | 499.49 | $0.982 | $490.5 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?No | buy | 366.82 | $0.993 | $364.25 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?No | buy | 3.21K | $0.816 | $2.62K | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?No | buy | 2.62K | $0.450 | $1.18K | Aug 22, 2025 |