Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 33.95 | $0.972 | $33.08 | +$0.08 |
 New pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 2.55K | $0.999 | $2.55K | 4d ago |
|
| No |
| 21.28 |
| $0.940 |
| $20.32 |
| +$0.32 |
 Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | No | 21.05 | $0.950 | $19.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | No | 3.21 | $0.934 | $3.12 | +$0.12 |
| buy |
| 21.28 |
| $0.940 |
| $20 |
| 4d ago |
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | 4d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 33.95 | $0.972 | $33 | 4d ago |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | buy | 25.51 | $0.980 | $25 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 1?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 1?Yes | buy | 200.2 | $0.999 | $200 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 21?Up | buy | 7 | $0.143 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 738.88 | $0.998 | $737.4 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 777.78 | $0.999 | $777 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.978 | $3 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.976 | $3 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in March?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.937 | $2.99 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?No | buy | 3.21 | $0.934 | $3 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?No | buy | 3.54 | $0.840 | $2.97 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.960 | $2.99 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| buy | 5.63 | $0.888 | $5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 12m?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Nvidia" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will egg prices be between $4.75 and $5.00 in February?No | buy | 52.85 | $0.998 | $52.74 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in February?No | buy | 25.54 | $0.979 | $25 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | sell | 3.33K | $0.001 | $3.33 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 3.91K | $0.003 | $10 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 9.3 | $0.430 | $4 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.067 | $2 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 30.43 | $0.986 | $30 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 50.02 | $0.060 | $3 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will another company be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will 'Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth' win Game of the Year?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Henry Cucalón win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?No | sell | 602.4 | $0.985 | $593.25 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?No | sell | 1K | $0.993 | $995.43 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Browns vs. BroncosBrowns | buy | 5.89 | $0.280 | $1.65 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?No | buy | 1K | $0.999 | $1K | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.660 | $11 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Henry Cucalón win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?No | buy | 602.41 | $0.996 | $600 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.280 | $0.31 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Swell airdrop by September 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.310 | $0.31 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Swell airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.96 | $0.920 | $11 | Jul 7, 2024 |
 Will Keycat reach $1b first?No | sell | 252.35 | $0.995 | $251.09 | Jul 7, 2024 |