Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 167.1 | $0.412 | $54.31 | -$14.51 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.320 | $64 | 5d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 600 |
| $0.170 |
| $39 |
| -$63 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 73.96 | $0.226 | $17.01 | +$0.3 |
| sell |
| 162.22 |
| $0.490 |
| $79.49 |
| 7d ago |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | 9d ago |
| Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.470 | $21.15 | 9d ago |
 Will Victor Cumming win the 2026 Vernon mayoral election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | 9d ago |
 Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | 10d ago |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 201.49 | $0.150 | $30.22 | 14d ago |
 Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | sell | 7.61 | $0.300 | $2.28 | 14d ago |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.97 | $0.250 | $0.24 | 14d ago |
 Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.760 | $2.81 | 15d ago |
 Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Jynxzi | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Jynxzi | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 151.49 | $0.170 | $25.75 | 16d ago |
 Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.480 | $24.48 | 16d ago |
| Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes | buy | 99.2 | $0.530 | $52.58 | 17d ago |
| Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes | buy | 30.1 | $0.540 | $16.25 | 17d ago |
| Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 18d ago |
| Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 20d ago |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.160 | $48 | 20d ago |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | 20d ago |
| Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.680 | $33.99 | 20d ago |
 Will Yudai Endo win the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.011 | $0.22 | 21d ago |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 137 | $0.120 | $16.44 | 21d ago |
| Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.580 | $51.04 | 21d ago |
 Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | sell | 0.63 | $0.380 | $0.24 | 22d ago |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.290 | $17.4 | 23d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.280 | $42 | 23d ago |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.120 | $48 | 23d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | 25d ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.160 | $60 | 26d ago |
 Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.200 | $14 | 27d ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 342.17 | $0.170 | $58.17 | 27d ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.206 | $2.47 | 28d ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 388.24 | $0.196 | $76 | 28d ago |
| Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.260 | $39 | 28d ago |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | 28d ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 8.52 | $0.160 | $1.36 | 29d ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.139 | $55.8 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.12 | $0.600 | $4.27 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?Yes | sell | 50.14 | $0.160 | $8.02 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.420 | $10.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | sell | 0.63 | $0.290 | $0.18 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?Yes | buy | 13.3 | $0.200 | $2.66 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | sell | 206.02 | $0.340 | $70.05 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | sell | 36.8 | $0.230 | $8.46 | Aug 8, 2026 |