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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.75K | $0.930 | $1.64K | +$8.26 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.27K |
| $0.825 |
| $1.06K |
| +$18.58 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 900 | $0.925 | $832.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 800 | $0.840 | $684 | +$12 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 638.63 | $0.940 | $618.19 | +$17.62 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 744.31 | $0.758 | $591.73 | +$27.44 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 550 | $0.909 | $492.25 | -$7.75 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 525 | $0.849 | $464.63 | +$19.13 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.838 | $432.5 | +$13.5 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.940 | $378 | +$2 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 300 | $0.970 | $293.1 | +$2.1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 300 | $0.913 | $280.5 | +$6.5 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 429.99 | $0.600 | $199.95 | -$58.25 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.3K | $0.150 | $188.5 | -$6.5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 400 | $0.622 | $186 | -$63 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 219.99 | $0.728 | $176.43 | +$16.24 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.820 | $171 | +$7 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.780 | $159 | +$3 |
 UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.965 | $95.95 | -$0.55 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.890 | $92.5 | +$3.5 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.870 | $87.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | Yes | 80.1 | $0.937 | $67.28 | -$7.75 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.600 | $43 | -$77 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.01K | $0.025 | $13.56 | -$62 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.270 | $12 | -$15 |
| sell |
| 175 |
| $0.870 |
| $152.25 |
| 1d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.880 | $5.77 | 3d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | 3d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | 3d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 138.95 | $0.780 | $108.38 | 3d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.150 | $135 | 3d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 185.26 | $0.780 | $144.5 | 3d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.970 | $291 | 4d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | 4d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | 4d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.949 | $38.91 | 4d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.470 | $11.75 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 21.02 | $0.900 | $18.92 | 5d ago |
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.965 | $44.39 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | 5d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | 5d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.910 | $273 | 5d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 64.99 | $0.724 | $47.05 | 5d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.938 | $0.01 | 5d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 117 | $0.949 | $111.03 | 5d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | 5d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | 6d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | 6d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.963 | $38.51 | 6d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 6d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 70 | $0.720 | $50.4 | 7d ago |
 Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.949 | $4.83 | 7d ago |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.957 | $62.21 | 7d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 186.1 | $0.962 | $179.03 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 400 | $0.972 | $388.8 | 7d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 2.74 | $0.963 | $2.64 | 7d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | buy | 39.14 | $0.926 | $36.24 | 8d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | 8d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | buy | 100 | $0.926 | $92.6 | 8d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | buy | 30 | $0.924 | $27.72 | 8d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | buy | 48 | $0.982 | $47.14 | 8d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | buy | 500 | $0.988 | $494 | 8d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | buy | 200 | $0.988 | $197.6 | 8d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.987 | $6.04 | 8d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | 8d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | buy | 100 | $0.985 | $98.5 | 8d ago |