Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 193.64 | $0.103 | $117.15 | +$97.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes | buy | 154.63 | $0.647 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 154.63 |
| $0.647 |
| $92 |
| -$8 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 75.01 | $0.333 | $41.26 | +$16.26 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 341.23 | $0.586 | $25.59 | -$174.41 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.18K | $0.017 | $21.76 | +$1.77 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | Yes | 139.82 | $0.358 | $18.88 | -$31.12 |
| buy |
| 341.23 |
| $0.586 |
| $200 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.017 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 193.64 | $0.103 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.091 | $100 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes | buy | 139.82 | $0.358 | $50 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | sell | 21.73 | $0.470 | $10.21 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 75.01 | $0.333 | $25 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 233.7 | $0.049 | $11.36 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.053 | $11.05 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 724.37 | $0.016 | $11.59 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.160 | $16.84 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 174.39 | $0.103 | $17.95 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.170 | $18.89 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes | sell | 86.95 | $0.263 | $22.87 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 211.17 | $0.111 | $23.44 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 339.86 | $0.034 | $11.55 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.180 | $18.95 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.74 | $0.435 | $17.3 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | sell | 95.5 | $0.250 | $23.88 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.320 | $29.09 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.644 | $32.21 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?Yes | sell | 80.08 | $0.432 | $34.61 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.756 | $37.78 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.130 | $39 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 317.23 | $0.130 | $41.24 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.454 | $45.37 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | sell | 352.98 | $0.126 | $44.39 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 284.31 | $0.170 | $48.33 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.820 | $54.66 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | sell | 83.33 | $0.700 | $58.33 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 88.23 | $0.670 | $59.11 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 137.93 | $0.430 | $59.31 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.340 | $68 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionNo | sell | 111.66 | $0.560 | $62.53 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 133.33 | $0.740 | $98.66 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 214.28 | $0.030 | $6.43 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 GPT ads by March 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.190 | $38 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.048 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.75 | $0.503 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 339.86 | $0.059 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 220.42 | $0.180 | $39.68 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 724.38 | $0.028 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |