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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will $Trump FDV be $20-25b on Feb 1?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Jan 19, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.120 |
| $2.4 |
| Jan 19, 2025 |
Will $Trump FDV be $35-40b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 125.32 | $0.009 | $1.13 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 18, 2024 |
Will the Republican candidate win Wisconsin by 3.0%-4.0%?Yes | buy | 8.8 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Sep 9, 2024 |
Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jul 5, 2024 |
Will another coalition win the most seats in the French election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 4, 2024 |
Other party wins the most seats in next UK election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jul 4, 2024 |
Will La France Insoumise win the most seats in the National Assembly?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.002 | $0.1 | Jul 4, 2024 |
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.008 | $0.04 | Jul 4, 2024 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jul 4, 2024 |
Will New Popular Front win less than 100 seats?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jul 3, 2024 |
Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Jul 3, 2024 |