Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? | Yes | 11.68 | $0.840 | $8.82 | -$0.99 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.840 | $3.94 | 6d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 5.94 |
| $0.590 |
| $5.5 |
| +$1.99 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 9.5 | $0.316 | $3.6 | +$0.6 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $2.75 | +$1.75 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $1.75 | +$0.75 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | Yes | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record? | No | 31.57 | $0.070 | $1.01 | -$1.2 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | $0 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | -$0 |
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? | No | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | -$0 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 18.14 | $0.070 | $1 | -$0.27 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 89.5 | $0.011 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.03 | $0.968 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? | Yes | 1.91 | $0.524 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 20.32 | $0.062 | $0.89 | -$0.37 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.024 | $0.85 | -$0.15 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
 Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.82 | -$0.18 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 1.45 | $0.690 | $0.79 | -$0.21 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | $0.004 | $0.75 | -$1.25 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? | No | 1.43 | $0.698 | $0.7 | -$0.3 |
 GTA VI released by October 31? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.028 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
| buy |
| 5.05 |
| $0.840 |
| $4.24 |
| 7d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.92 | $0.890 | $5.27 | 7d ago |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?Yes | buy | 1.94 | $0.840 | $1.63 | 7d ago |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 15d ago |
 Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.15 | $0.317 | $1 | 16d ago |
| GTA VI released by October 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?Yes | buy | 61.51 | $0.016 | $1 | 22d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 22d ago |
| Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 89.5 | $0.011 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.524 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.698 | $1 | 24d ago |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | 24d ago |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in August?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.541 | $1 | 24d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 17?Up | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.35 | $0.315 | $2 | 26d ago |
 Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.082 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 240k and 280k?Yes | buy | 303.42 | $0.003 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?No | buy | 124.14 | $0.008 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 27d ago |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.32 | $0.062 | $1.26 | 27d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 18.14 | $0.070 | $1.27 | 27d ago |
| Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?No | buy | 31.57 | $0.070 | $2.21 | 27d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 208.17 | $0.009 | $1.96 | 27d ago |