Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 3.51K | $0.880 | $3.43K | +$337.37 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes | buy | 277.99 | $0.280 | $77.84 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 15.1K |
| $0.207 |
| $2.94K |
| -$175.48 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 2.64K | $0.880 | $2.44K | +$118.8 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.42K | $0.961 | $2.4K | +$73.87 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 1.3K | $0.790 | $1.13K | +$104 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.9K | $0.240 | $872.85 | -$783.15 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 600 | $0.910 | $584.7 | +$38.7 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.840 | $561 | +$57 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.850 | $437.5 | +$12.5 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 420 | $0.920 | $390.6 | +$4.2 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.280 | $348.72 | +$61.54 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? | No | 339.42 | $0.860 | $322.45 | +$30.55 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 123.46 | $0.810 | $118.7 | +$18.7 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 239.36 | $0.550 | $111.3 | -$20.35 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 107.53 | $0.930 | $99.46 | -$0.54 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 99.47 | $0.951 | $96.98 | +$2.39 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 101.18 | $0.850 | $94.6 | +$8.6 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? | No | 45.21 | $0.840 | $42.27 | +$4.29 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? | No | 31.96 | $0.740 | $29.13 | +$5.48 |
 Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 29.12 | $0.894 | $28.48 | +$2.45 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $18.4 | +$3.4 |
| buy |
| 250 |
| $0.950 |
| $237.5 |
| May 20, 2026 |
 Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Yes | buy | 97.97 | $0.006 | $0.59 | May 15, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.910 | $546 | May 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.395 | $19.75 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.676 | $811.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | sell | 134 | $0.150 | $20.1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.450 | $2.25K | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.370 | $538.35 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.006 | $7.44 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 756.91 | $0.840 | $635.8 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?No | buy | 272 | $0.870 | $236.64 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.009 | $0.27 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 2.51K | $0.840 | $2.11K | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 560.05 | $0.350 | $196.02 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.91K | $0.260 | $497.15 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.080 | $79.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 313.58 | $0.880 | $275.95 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.073 | $3.64 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.007 | $0.21 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.409 | $40.9 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.817 | $980.4 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.540 | $270 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.560 | $112 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.919 | $13.79 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 716.43 | $0.755 | $540.9 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 445.42 | $0.978 | $435.62 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 745.15 | $0.689 | $513.7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 520 | $0.670 | $348.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.680 | $680 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.630 | $630 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.729 | $1K | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 5.26K | $0.002 | $10.52 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 20.46K | $0.002 | $40.93 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 2.12K | $0.547 | $1.16K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 397.84 | $0.790 | $314.29 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | buy | 2.35K | $0.997 | $2.35K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?No | buy | 356.63 | $0.820 | $292.44 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?No | buy | 2.6K | $0.800 | $2.08K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.530 | $954 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 111 | $0.800 | $88.8 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 503 | $0.800 | $402.4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 153.4 | $0.740 | $113.52 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 29.12 | $0.894 | $26.03 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 420 | $0.920 | $386.4 | Feb 18, 2026 |