Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 120 | $0.975 | $117.66 | +$0.69 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?No | sell | 16.88 | $0.900 | $15.19 | 6h ago |
 |
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.981 |
| $99.15 |
| +$1.07 |
 Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | No | 110 | $0.751 | $85.25 | +$2.65 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 80 | $0.948 | $79.56 | +$3.7 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 130 | $0.635 | $68.25 | -$14.25 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 80 | $0.841 | $67.2 | -$0.1 |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | No | 70 | $0.929 | $65 | -$0.06 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 409.99 | $0.134 | $63.55 | +$8.75 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.597 | $58.05 | -$1.65 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 60 | $0.920 | $55.5 | +$0.3 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 70 | $0.816 | $54.95 | -$2.15 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.914 | $46.75 | +$1.05 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 90 | $0.638 | $46.35 | -$11.05 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | No | 49.99 | $0.922 | $43.99 | -$2.1 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 50 | $0.907 | $41.53 | -$3.82 |
 Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 100 | $0.398 | $38.5 | -$1.3 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 50 | $0.876 | $38.25 | -$5.55 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.923 | $37.9 | +$0.97 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 40 | $0.920 | $37.8 | +$1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.900 | $36.6 | +$0.6 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 46.33 | $0.716 | $34.52 | +$1.36 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 160 | $0.365 | $31.2 | -$27.2 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.780 | $31 | -$0.2 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.982 | $29.95 | +$0.5 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 30 | $0.983 | $29.67 | +$0.18 |
| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.740 |
| $22.2 |
| 6h ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.993 | $19.85 | 4d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | 6d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?No | sell | 50.63 | $0.880 | $44.55 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | 9d ago |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.899 | $44.95 | 10d ago |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.896 | $22.4 | 10d ago |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 40 | $0.977 | $39.08 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.635 | $12.7 | 11d ago |
 Exact Score: Olympique Lyonnais 0 - 0 Fenerbahçe SK?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.940 | $9.39 | 14d ago |
 Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?No | buy | 10 | $0.979 | $9.79 | 14d ago |
 Exact Score: ASC Oțelul Galați 0 - 0 FC Argeș Pitești?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | 16d ago |
| Exact Score: ASC Oțelul Galați 0 - 0 FC Argeș Pitești?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.680 | $20.4 | 16d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 20 | $0.966 | $19.32 | 16d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.140 | $12.6 | 16d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | 16d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.140 | $11.2 | 16d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | 18d ago |
| Will FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-08-21?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | 19d ago |
| Exact Score: FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0 - 0 FC Rapid 1923?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | 19d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.230 | $4.14 | 21d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | 21d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.110 | $6.6 | 21d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.969 | $9.69 | 21d ago |
 Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 21d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.038 | $1.9 | 22d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.720 | $21.59 | 22d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 40 | $0.990 | $39.6 | 22d ago |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | 25d ago |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | 25d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | 26d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.240 | $7.2 | 26d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | 26d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | 26d ago |
 Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | 26d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | 26d ago |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 30 | $0.990 | $29.7 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.240 | $14.4 | 28d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.640 | $19.2 | 28d ago |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.038 | $3.42 | 28d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.640 | $19.2 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.220 | $8.8 | 29d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | 29d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.640 | $25.6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.795 | $15.9 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.794 | $15.88 | Jul 28, 2026 |