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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 93.46 | $0.635 | $59.37 | 11d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 51.86 |
| $0.096 |
| $5 |
| 12d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 68.26 | $0.957 | $65.35 | 13d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 68.27 | $0.890 | $60.76 | 16d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | sell | 18.27 | $0.144 | $2.64 | 16d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.68 | $0.980 | $14.39 | 16d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.67 | $0.964 | $11.25 | 16d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 116.28 | $0.003 | $0.35 | 16d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | sell | 75.75 | $0.012 | $0.91 | 16d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.013 | $1.18 | 16d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.015 | $0.94 | 16d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 13.88 | $0.730 | $10.13 | 16d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.500 | $7.14 | 16d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | sell | 47.37 | $0.250 | $11.84 | 16d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 47.37 | $0.430 | $20.37 | 23d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?No | buy | 115.38 | $0.026 | $3 | 23d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 40.1 | $0.595 | $23.86 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.68 | $0.870 | $10.16 | 26d ago |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | buy | 18.27 | $0.547 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | 26d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.047 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?No | sell | 44.17 | $0.728 | $32.16 | 27d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?No | buy | 44.17 | $0.690 | $30.48 | 29d ago |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?Yes | buy | 141.15 | $0.028 | $4 | 29d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | 29d ago |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 54.17 | $0.580 | $31.42 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 220.49 | $0.023 | $5.02 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 108.53 | $0.036 | $3.91 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 32.15 | $0.730 | $23.47 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.68 | $0.790 | $11.6 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.132 | $10 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | sell | 72.62 | $0.986 | $71.6 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.950 | $9.98 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 64.29 | $0.156 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 220.49 | $0.045 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 44.25 | $0.226 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 40.11 | $0.374 | $15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.216 | $10.8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | buy | 104.79 | $0.910 | $95.36 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 32.14 | $0.280 | $9 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 126.71 | $0.942 | $119.36 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 94.21 | $0.483 | $45.51 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.043 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 32.5 | $0.523 | $17 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 138.88 | $0.341 | $47.36 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 83.75 | $0.140 | $11.73 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 222.1 | $0.036 | $8.07 | Aug 4, 2026 |