Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ECB rate cut in 2026? | Yes | 16.74 | $0.500 | $0.84 | -$7.53 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 7.14 |
| $0.420 |
| $0.54 |
| -$2.46 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 6.66 | $0.150 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
| buy |
| 8.29 |
| $0.340 |
| $2.82 |
| May 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 29.62 | $0.990 | $29.32 | May 9, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETDown | buy | 5.84 | $0.650 | $3.8 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETDown | buy | 7.74 | $0.610 | $4.72 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.85 | $0.968 | $14.37 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.85 | $0.443 | $6.58 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.28 | $0.140 | $1.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 6.67 | $0.790 | $5.27 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.879 | $4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 6.68 | $0.749 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?Yes | buy | 35.72 | $0.028 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.280 | $2.64 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.340 | $4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.940 | $6.26 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.600 | $4 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 7.34 | $0.830 | $6.09 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 12.04 | $0.920 | $11.08 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?No | buy | 9.21 | $0.760 | $7 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesYes | sell | 11.61 | $0.840 | $9.75 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-21?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.870 | $15 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesYes | buy | 11.62 | $0.754 | $8.76 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 8.75 | $0.800 | $7 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.74 | $0.500 | $8.37 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.210 | $2.5 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.210 | $2.5 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 16.44 | $0.610 | $10.02 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 9.66 | $0.410 | $3.96 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 24.12 | $0.910 | $21.95 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.66 | $0.150 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.29 | $0.140 | $1.3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.840 | $2.62 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.890 | $6.68 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 24.12 | $0.820 | $19.78 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.15 | $0.880 | $2.77 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 7.81 | $0.750 | $5.86 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?No | sell | 2.77 | $0.410 | $1.14 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.15 | $0.670 | $2.11 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 24.73 | $0.530 | $13.11 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.19 | $0.540 | $7.12 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | Oct 31, 2025 |