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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.977 | $31.26 | 15d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 52 |
| $0.998 |
| $51.9 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.986 | $31.55 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.985 | $19.7 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?No | buy | 83 | $0.998 | $82.83 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?No | buy | 30.12 | $0.999 | $30.09 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.999 | $50.94 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Netflix dip to $0 in March?No | buy | 72 | $0.999 | $71.93 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 57.9 | $0.999 | $57.84 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?No | buy | 136.7 | $0.993 | $135.74 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Agibot have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?No | buy | 117.74 | $0.998 | $117.5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?No | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 78.6 | $0.999 | $78.52 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Ripple Labs IPO in 2025?No | buy | 27.97 | $0.997 | $27.89 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2025?No | buy | 26.13 | $0.999 | $26.1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 53.09 | $0.999 | $53.04 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 219.05 | $0.998 | $218.61 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 18.94 | $0.983 | $18.62 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?No | buy | 15.62 | $0.978 | $15.28 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?No | buy | 35.28 | $0.999 | $35.24 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?No | buy | 105.24 | $0.998 | $105.03 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.991 | $10.91 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Feb 21-28?No | buy | 84.93 | $0.997 | $84.68 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will ETHBTC be more than .033 on February 7?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?No | buy | 23.32 | $0.999 | $23.3 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in first week?No | buy | 27.14 | $0.995 | $27 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?No | buy | 53.92 | $0.983 | $53 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Jan 10-17?No | buy | 51.05 | $0.999 | $51 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 550 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | buy | 1.83K | $0.001 | $1.83 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?No | buy | 39.96 | $0.998 | $39.88 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Ethena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024?No | buy | 36.65 | $0.997 | $36.54 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Berachain launch a token in November?No | buy | 76.42 | $0.993 | $75.89 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 50 or more times Nov 8-15?No | buy | 65.9 | $0.998 | $65.77 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 75.75 | $0.998 | $75.6 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 250 times November 1-8?No | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?No | buy | 19.88 | $0.999 | $19.86 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before election day?No | buy | 35.72 | $0.996 | $35.58 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Berachain launch a token in October?No | buy | 75.42 | $0.993 | $74.89 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 100 times October 18-25?No | buy | 74.88 | $0.999 | $74.81 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Puffer airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 40.05 | $0.998 | $39.97 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?No | buy | 16.9 | $0.999 | $16.88 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Farcaster airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.999 | $17.84 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 60 times?No | buy | 90.21 | $0.998 | $90.03 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Trump posts 100 or more times on X?No | buy | 90.03 | $0.999 | $89.94 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 7 times this week?No | buy | 89.94 | $0.998 | $89.76 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?No | buy | 89.76 | $0.999 | $89.67 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.840 | $6 | Aug 14, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by July 31?No | buy | 20.44 | $0.954 | $19.5 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?No | buy | 26.77 | $0.992 | $26.56 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 CrowdStrike caused by a hack?No | buy | 33.42 | $0.999 | $33.39 | Jul 27, 2024 |