Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 100 | $0.590 | $64.5 | +$5.5 |
US recession by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.024 | $4.8 | 27d ago |
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| Yes |
| 206.34 |
| $0.217 |
| $15.48 |
| -$29.36 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 249.99 | $0.164 | $13.75 | -$27.25 |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes | 99.98 | $0.170 | $13 | -$4 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.095 | $3.05 | -$6.45 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 10 | $0.300 | $0.95 | -$2.05 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 40.01 | $0.080 | $0.66 | -$2.54 |
Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | Yes | 20 | $0.160 | $0.15 | -$3.05 |
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 6.52 | $0.020 | $0.06 | -$0.07 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.318 |
| $6.35 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 200.01 | $0.291 | $58.2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETDown | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.094 | $9.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | May 21, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.005 | $0.55 | May 12, 2026 |
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris KaunasZalgiris Kaunas | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.065 | $6.5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in March?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 27?Yes | sell | 59 | $0.033 | $1.95 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 26?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 26?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | Mar 13, 2026 |
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Pacers vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Feb 6, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.953 | $19.06 | Jan 30, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.981 | $39.24 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 16.7 | $0.029 | $0.48 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Hawks vs. WizardsHawks | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.980 | $58.8 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.981 | $9.81 | Nov 25, 2025 |
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 8.58 | $0.310 | $2.66 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-17?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Thunder vs. MavericksThunder | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Pacers vs. ThunderThunder | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.999 | $52.58 | Jun 3, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.832 | $49.92 | Jun 1, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | May 31, 2025 |
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | May 28, 2025 |
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.850 | $1.02 | May 25, 2025 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?No | sell | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | sell | 2 | $0.530 | $1.06 | Mar 2, 2025 |
Thunder vs. HawksThunder | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.820 | $2.07 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" 10+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Gustavo Petro out as Colombia president before March?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Feb 25, 2025 |
Wizards vs. MagicMagic | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Will Cristian Sima win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Canada vs. FinlandCanada | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Feb 17, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Feb 10, 2025 |