Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2.94 | +$0.94 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.24 |
| $0.955 |
| $5 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.068 | $0.76 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.500 | $5.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Leavitt say "Iran" during the next White House Press Briefing?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Leavitt say "ICE" or "National Guard" during the next White House Press Briefing?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 13.15 | $0.310 | $4.08 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.028 | $0.92 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | sell | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | buy | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETDown | buy | 214.86 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 7.09 | $0.140 | $0.99 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 State of the Union Bingo - Card 3Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.992 | $6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETUp | sell | 12.48 | $0.990 | $12.36 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETUp | buy | 12.47 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?Yes | sell | 42.55 | $0.014 | $0.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Arizona" during the State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.010 | $0.06 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance clap between 90–99 times during the State of the Union?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.347 | $4.62 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.040 | $0.46 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Arizona" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.047 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| State of the Union Bingo - Card 3Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 9.1 | $0.549 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance clap between 90–99 times during the State of the Union?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes | sell | 37.19 | $0.390 | $14.5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.450 | $15 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.004 | $5.7 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?Yes | sell | 201.52 | $0.019 | $3.83 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |