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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 96.11 | $0.610 | $58.63 | May 12, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 205.3 |
| $0.230 |
| $47.22 |
| Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 309.74 | $0.129 | $40 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 301.22 | $0.290 | $87.22 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 301.22 | $0.132 | $39.77 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | sell | 1.71K | $0.023 | $39.77 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.640 | $1.09K | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.761 | $1.09K | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.650 | $931.95 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | sell | 946.14 | $0.985 | $931.95 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 946.14 | $0.988 | $934.72 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-99 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?No | buy | 934.72 | $0.997 | $932.07 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?No | buy | 932.07 | $0.970 | $904.11 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 343.56 | $0.333 | $114.29 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 360 | $0.470 | $169.13 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 202.3 | $0.321 | $65 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 141.27 | $0.241 | $34 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.466 | $167.64 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.52K | $0.344 | $522.04 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.27K | $0.354 | $450.29 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.79K | $0.359 | $1K | Jan 2, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 1.09K | $0.996 | $1.08K | Jan 1, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.998 | $1.08K | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Yes | sell | 1.33K | $0.815 | $1.08K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.545 | $726.1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No | sell | 805.13 | $0.902 | $726.09 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No | buy | 805.14 | $0.611 | $491.65 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Yes | sell | 702.36 | $0.700 | $491.65 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Yes | buy | 702.35 | $0.869 | $610.01 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Yes | sell | 15.19 | $0.620 | $9.42 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Yes | buy | 15.2 | $0.658 | $10 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | sell | 102.11 | $0.986 | $100.72 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 508.86 | $0.991 | $504.48 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 102.12 | $0.874 | $89.25 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | sell | 102.95 | $0.867 | $89.26 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 102.95 | $0.861 | $88.64 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?No | buy | 504.48 | $0.992 | $500.44 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?No | buy | 88.64 | $0.880 | $78 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 578.44 | $0.999 | $577.86 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 14?No | buy | 577.86 | $0.989 | $571.43 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | sell | 627.06 | $0.911 | $571.28 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 627.07 | $0.734 | $460 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 460.15 | $0.968 | $445.43 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | sell | 749.21 | $0.594 | $445.34 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 749.21 | $0.627 | $470 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.058 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?Yes | buy | 478.09 | $0.998 | $477.13 | Dec 8, 2025 |