Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% before August?Yes | buy | 320.8 | $0.016 | $5 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 263.68 |
| $0.019 |
| $5 |
| Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| 2025 July hottest on record?Yes | buy | 247.24 | $0.040 | $10 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Yes | buy | 51.12 | $0.196 | $10 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.160 | $15 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?Yes | buy | 42.37 | $0.118 | $5 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | sell | 18.18 | $0.986 | $17.93 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Trump declassifies Diddy list?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 82.59 | $0.999 | $82.51 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Israel military strike against Iran in November?No | buy | 57.69 | $0.520 | $30 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.271 | $5.42 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win 1-2% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 30.49 | $0.164 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Who will win white women?Harris | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?No | buy | 35.53 | $0.141 | $5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.054 | $5.4 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | sell | 14.92 | $0.810 | $12.09 | Aug 19, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 14, 2024 |
 Another New Popular Front member next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.199 | $1.99 | Aug 14, 2024 |
 Biden appoints a man as Secret Service Director?No | sell | 41.4 | $0.240 | $9.94 | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 20 | $0.228 | $4.56 | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.220 | $3.3 | Aug 14, 2024 |
 538 favorite when forecast is turned on?Trump | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Brat" before August?Yes | buy | 34.54 | $0.145 | $5 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick by Aug 7?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jul 25, 2024 |