Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 3.33K | $0.200 | $2.68K | +$2.02K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.034 | $46.32 | 21h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 20.91K |
| $0.093 |
| $2.4K |
| +$454.25 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 1.32K | $0.769 | $1.17K | +$153.4 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2.24K | $0.331 | $783.2 | +$41.96 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4K | $0.140 | $754 | +$194 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.27K | $0.057 | $697.83 | +$398.84 |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.77K | $0.282 | $671.41 | +$173.29 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 21.53K | $0.029 | $635.15 | +$5.98 |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 600 | $0.800 | $562.5 | +$82.5 |
 Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | No | 1.16K | $0.318 | $378.58 | +$8.38 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.370 | $333 | +$111 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.650 | $327.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 599.99 | $0.510 | $314.99 | +$9 |
 Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 413.23 | $0.687 | $309.92 | +$25.93 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.478 | $252.5 | +$13.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.380 | $225 | +$111 |
 Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 200 | $0.880 | $167 | -$9 |
 Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.216 | $162.41 | -$63.88 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 199.1 | $0.613 | $135.39 | +$13.34 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 200 | $0.350 | $105 | +$35 |
 Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 66 | $0.927 | $62.5 | +$1.32 |
 Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 62 | $0.810 | $57.97 | +$7.75 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | Yes | 350 | $0.360 | $51.8 | -$74.2 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | No | 125.94 | $0.281 | $48.49 | +$13.04 |
 Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 246 | $0.216 | $36.9 | -$16.37 |
| sell |
| 275 |
| $0.015 |
| $4 |
| 4d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 319.65 | $0.890 | $284.49 | 7d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 700 | $0.930 | $651 | 7d ago |
 Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | sell | 131.03 | $0.013 | $1.77 | 7d ago |
 Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 40 | $0.991 | $39.65 | 7d ago |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.570 | $131.1 | 7d ago |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 7d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.510 | $204 | 8d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.962 | $1.06K | 8d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.650 | $325 | 9d ago |
| Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Yes | buy | 275 | $0.080 | $22.05 | 13d ago |
| Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?No | buy | 764.86 | $0.327 | $250.2 | 13d ago |
| Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 15d ago |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.930 | $372 | 15d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.970 | $291 | 15d ago |
| Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | 15d ago |
| Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | 15d ago |
| Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 66 | $0.927 | $61.18 | 15d ago |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 946.05 | $0.280 | $264.89 | 15d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 478.48 | $0.102 | $48.72 | 22d ago |
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 15 | $0.650 | $9.75 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 600 | $0.800 | $480 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.893 | $4.47 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.18K | $0.029 | $93.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 276.86 | $0.320 | $88.6 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 161.29 | $0.818 | $131.94 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.210 | $1.33 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 54.99 | $0.190 | $10.45 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.223 | $8.25 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 166 | $0.180 | $29.82 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 25 | $0.190 | $4.75 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | buy | 61.43 | $0.439 | $26.94 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 653.59 | $0.608 | $397.66 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 2K | $0.998 | $2K | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 363.23 | $0.680 | $247 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.048 | $100 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.048 | $100 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 600 | $0.999 | $599.4 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.270 | $135 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.360 | $900 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 410.35 | $0.350 | $143.62 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 44.86 | $0.242 | $10.86 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.220 | $110 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 62 | $0.810 | $50.22 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.200 | $666.33 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.250 | $125 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | buy | 69.6 | $0.349 | $24.3 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.610 | $23.79 | May 13, 2026 |