Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 26.32 | $0.190 | $4.61 | -$0.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.936 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5 |
| $0.740 |
| $4.37 |
| +$0.67 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 27 | $0.283 | $4.05 | -$3.58 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes | 28.55 | $0.191 | $3.85 | -$1.59 |
 Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | $3,000 | 5 | $0.530 | $3.3 | +$0.65 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections? | Yes | 10.35 | $0.188 | $0.83 | -$1.12 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 0.4 | $0.860 | $0.39 | +$0.04 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | 12 | $0.090 | $0.34 | -$0.74 |
 GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.350 | $0.3 | -$1.45 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | No | 0.24 | $0.860 | $0.22 | +$0.02 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? | Yes | 1.06 | $0.200 | $0.15 | -$0.06 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 0.13 | $0.470 | $0.09 | +$0.03 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | No | 3.57 | $0.157 | $0.01 | -$0.55 |
| sell |
| 7 |
| $0.870 |
| $6.09 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.965 | $4.83 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.069 | $1.72 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 7.46 | $0.901 | $6.72 | May 29, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | sell | 40.17 | $0.881 | $35.37 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.300 | $0.3 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.410 | $0.41 | May 14, 2026 |
 Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?Yes | sell | 2.37 | $0.540 | $1.28 | May 14, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 11.57 | $0.220 | $2.55 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 30.76 | $0.068 | $2.09 | May 14, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.016 | $0 | May 12, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.086 | $0.1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.998 | $0.11 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.995 | $0.11 | May 12, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | sell | 0.22 | $0.971 | $0.21 | May 12, 2026 |
 Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.580 | $0.52 | May 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.820 | $2.16 | May 12, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.023 | $1.13 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 53.4 | $0.550 | $29.37 | May 12, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.170 | $21.25 | May 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.104 | $0.1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 95.01 | $0.110 | $10.45 | May 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 256.46 | $0.550 | $141.05 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 260 | $0.842 | $218.84 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.844 | $168.77 | May 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 59.12 | $0.019 | $1.12 | May 9, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.210 | $5.25 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.019 | $0.76 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.020 | $0.8 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.019 | $0.1 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 35.05 | $0.542 | $19 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No | buy | 206.83 | $0.967 | $200 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?No | sell | 25 | $0.989 | $24.73 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 40.77 | $0.500 | $20.39 | May 9, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Yes | buy | 148.46 | $0.110 | $16.33 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.015 | $6 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.018 | $1.8 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 210.31 | $0.856 | $180 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 326.09 | $0.460 | $150 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 259.18 | $0.840 | $217.6 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 357.18 | $0.840 | $300 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 719.42 | $0.834 | $600 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 300.67 | $0.831 | $250 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 252.02 | $0.992 | $250 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.179 | $16.83 | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 250.04 | $0.817 | $204.23 | May 8, 2026 |