Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 4.76 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 2.22 |
| $0.952 |
| $2.11 |
| Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.450 | $0.79 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.490 | $2.72 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the January meeting?Yes | buy | 156.24 | $0.006 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Probability" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?No | sell | 3.62 | $0.990 | $3.58 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Egg" during Iowa speech?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.276 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |