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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 12K | $0.322 | $5.07K | +$1.2K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.160 | $320 | 9h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.36K |
| $0.952 |
| $2.3K |
| +$56.93 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.69K | $0.805 | $1.45K | +$83.82 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 22.66K | $0.088 | $996.85 | -$1.01K |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.63K | $0.167 | $724.84 | -$548.41 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 2K | $0.362 | $703 | -$21 |
 Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 484.23 | $0.952 | $474.55 | +$13.65 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 6.53K | $0.070 | $424.35 | -$32.64 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 586.82 | $0.599 | $311.01 | -$40.69 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 1.3K | $0.380 | $280.52 | -$215.29 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 1.79K | $0.155 | $241.71 | -$36.24 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? | Yes | 241.96 | $0.950 | $238.81 | +$8.95 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 12.22K | $0.084 | $226.12 | -$797.05 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 1.79K | $0.105 | $197.3 | +$8.14 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 170.05 | $0.710 | $136.89 | +$16.16 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 60.92 | $0.948 | $58.18 | +$0.43 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.340 | $44 | +$10 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 48.93 | $0.790 | $37.43 | -$1.22 |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.290 | $11 | +$5.2 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 11.13 | $0.890 | $10.41 | +$0.5 |
 Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election? | No | 1 | $0.500 | $0.75 | +$0.25 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.120 |
| $120 |
| 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 280.51 | $0.600 | $168.31 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 248.37 | $0.580 | $144.05 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 708.45 | $0.390 | $276.3 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 635.3 | $0.550 | $349.42 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 790.52 | $0.190 | $150.2 | 2d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.71K | $0.110 | $187.98 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 500 | $0.690 | $345 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.690 | $693.68 | 3d ago |
| Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.220 | $0.22 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 23.48 | $0.536 | $12.59 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 410 | $0.310 | $127.1 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.310 | $310 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 0.63 | $0.300 | $0.19 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 400 | $0.530 | $212 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.62K | $0.700 | $1.13K | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 752.93 | $0.410 | $308.7 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 269 | $0.360 | $96.84 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 221.23 | $0.346 | $76.57 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 158.46 | $0.327 | $51.89 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 538.23 | $0.520 | $279.88 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 500 | $0.520 | $260 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 60 | $0.510 | $30.6 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 57.7 | $0.500 | $28.85 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 22.32 | $0.490 | $10.94 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 42.53 | $0.480 | $20.41 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 499.32 | $0.570 | $284.61 | 4d ago |
 Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 283.33 | $0.967 | $273.88 | 4d ago |
| Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 93.33 | $0.966 | $90.16 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.650 | $1.3K | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 264.32 | $0.540 | $142.73 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 580.87 | $0.300 | $174.26 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 1.89K | $0.300 | $566.37 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.780 | $1.17K | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 2.52K | $0.270 | $679.65 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 394.52 | $0.420 | $165.7 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.49K | $0.180 | $268.48 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.840 | $840 | 6d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.090 | $225 | 6d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.340 | $34 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 394.45 | $0.500 | $197.23 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 411.71 | $0.540 | $222.32 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 377.29 | $0.730 | $275.42 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 446.63 | $0.530 | $236.71 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5.14 | $0.280 | $1.44 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 26.08 | $0.290 | $7.56 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 38.8 | $0.290 | $11.25 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 116.1 | $0.290 | $33.67 | 6d ago |