Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.560 | $4.48 | Apr 4, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 8 |
| $0.723 |
| $5.78 |
| Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft dip to $353 in April?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.650 | $4.55 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft dip to $353 in April?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.460 | $13.8 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?Yes | sell | 31.6 | $0.010 | $0.32 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.170 | $4.59 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.100 | $2.5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.170 | $4.25 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the US add at least 100k jobs in March?No | sell | 3.95 | $0.470 | $1.86 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.680 | $6.12 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in March?No | buy | 3.91 | $0.610 | $2.38 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Meta (META) close above $570 on April 2?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on April 2?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.110 | $2.53 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.490 | $7.35 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.726 | $8.71 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.470 | $7.05 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.690 | $6.21 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.480 | $7.2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.770 | $4.62 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.510 | $6.12 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.312 | $14.04 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 13 | $0.360 | $4.68 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Dave and Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 8 | $0.790 | $6.32 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.520 | $9.36 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.690 | $12.42 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.730 | $2.92 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.450 | $6.75 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Dave and Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 8 | $0.790 | $6.32 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.786 | $9.43 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 50 | $0.079 | $3.93 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.460 | $6.9 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.750 | $9 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.359 | $7.19 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 on March 27?No | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |