Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 2.32 | $0.570 | $1.32 | Jan 15, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.52 |
| $0.710 |
| $1.08 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyYes | buy | 1.53 | $0.890 | $1.36 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.730 | $1.01 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 3.43 | $0.900 | $3.09 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.940 | $1.02 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 3.43 | $0.860 | $2.95 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.73 | $0.789 | $1.36 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Inflation" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.930 | $1.33 | Dec 17, 2025 |
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | sell | 2.71 | $0.951 | $2.58 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 12?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.999 | $1.18 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.994 | $1.22 | Dec 10, 2025 |
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.940 | $2.55 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.819 | $1.42 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Bill Clinton confirmed pedophile by December 31?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.966 | $1.32 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.985 | $1.22 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Bill Clinton confirmed pedophile by December 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.969 | $1.33 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will Lilo & Stitch be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.832 | $1.07 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.999 | $1.05 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.900 | $1.27 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.900 | $1.27 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Obama divorce in 2025?No | sell | 1.18 | $0.984 | $1.16 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Obama divorce in 2025?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.987 | $1.17 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.002 | $0 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.850 | $1.31 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Lilo & Stitch be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.983 | $1.27 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Orlando City SC win the 2025 MLS Cup?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.962 | $1.09 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Orlando City SC win the 2025 MLS Cup?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.998 | $1.13 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 44.5% on October 10?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.990 | $1.16 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.999 | $1.33 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.997 | $1.33 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will "The Roses" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $6m?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.993 | $1.15 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.982 | $1.04 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times August 8–August 15?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.999 | $1.19 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Austria join NATO by December 31?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.953 | $1.01 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will Austria join NATO by December 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.978 | $1.04 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 1.71 | $0.860 | $1.47 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.870 | $1.49 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| sell | 2.86 | $0.817 | $2.34 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| buy | 1.63 | $0.839 | $1.37 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| buy | 1.23 | $0.876 | $1.08 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Williams vs. MedicWilliams | buy | 2.65 | $0.510 | $1.35 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Trump x Xi talk before July?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.890 | $1.28 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 4.4 | $0.270 | $1.19 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Trump x Xi talk before July?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.850 | $1.23 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.560 | $0.7 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.300 | $1.32 | Jun 9, 2025 |
More Points in NBA Finals: Siakam vs. WilliamsWilliams | sell | 1.45 | $0.080 | $0.12 | Jun 7, 2025 |