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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Solana Up or Down on April 2?Up | sell | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Apr 1, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 9.69 |
| $0.500 |
| $4.84 |
| Mar 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6?Up | buy | 200 | $0.600 | $120 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5?Down | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 28?Down | sell | 199.98 | $0.320 | $63.99 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 24?Down | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 22?Down | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 16?Up | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11?Down | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 8?Up | buy | 196.47 | $0.510 | $100.2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 6?Down | buy | 215.13 | $0.370 | $79.59 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4?Up | buy | 605.71 | $0.695 | $421 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 2?Up | buy | 407.48 | $0.557 | $227 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 30?Up | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 30?Up | buy | 396.08 | $0.505 | $200 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 28?Up | buy | 205.67 | $0.535 | $110 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 26?Up | buy | 444.44 | $0.450 | $200 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 25?Down | sell | 196.07 | $0.999 | $195.87 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 25?Down | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 23?Down | buy | 384.62 | $0.520 | $200 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.006 | $0.02 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
OpenAI acquired in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.022 | $0.24 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Trump agrees to send U.S. peacekeeping force to Ukraine?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.015 | $0.19 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.080 | $0.27 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.080 | $0.31 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.022 | $0.37 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.080 | $0.38 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.074 | $0.49 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.130 | $0.54 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.080 | $0.53 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.441 | $0.52 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.080 | $0.73 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.750 | $1.13 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.870 | $1.18 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.900 | $1.22 | Oct 28, 2025 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
OpenAI acquired in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
OpenAI social app in 2025?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |