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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 143.14 | $0.838 | $132.41 | +$12.41 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 67.42 |
| $0.890 |
| $65.22 |
| +$5.22 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 30.11 | $0.930 | $29.19 | +$1.19 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 52.63 | $0.380 | $27.11 | +$7.11 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20.6 | +$0.6 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.22 | +$0.22 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 5.75 | $0.869 | $5.47 | +$0.47 |
| buy |
| 10.31 |
| $0.970 |
| $10 |
| May 18, 2026 |
 Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | sell | 189.1 | $0.790 | $149.39 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes | buy | 179.37 | $0.056 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 12.98 | $0.978 | $12.69 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 102.15 | $0.979 | $100 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.869 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 10.59 | $0.944 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.220 | $40 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 138.17 | $0.290 | $40 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.340 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.620 | $15 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.440 | $30 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?No | buy | 21.14 | $0.946 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 75.27 | $0.930 | $70 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.940 | $40 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?No | buy | 31.58 | $0.950 | $30 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No | buy | 40.73 | $0.982 | $40 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?No | buy | 43.01 | $0.930 | $40 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.959 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.930 | $8 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 636.02 | $0.047 | $30 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 67.42 | $0.890 | $60 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 130.96 | $0.229 | $30 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?No | buy | 102.88 | $0.972 | $100 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Zelensky resigns in 2025?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.960 | $30 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Yes | sell | 30.53 | $0.670 | $20.46 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.230 | $9.58 | Nov 3, 2025 |