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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.230 | $13.53 | May 3, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 248.96 |
| $0.004 |
| $1 |
| May 3, 2026 |
 Named storm forms before hurricane season?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.110 | $2.16 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 74.71 | $0.063 | $4.69 | May 3, 2026 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.260 | $7.88 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 5.57 | $0.942 | $5.25 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 24.17 | $0.560 | $13.54 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 19.73 | $0.940 | $18.55 | May 3, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 3.77 | $0.260 | $0.98 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 9.69 | $0.500 | $4.84 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | buy | 11.3 | $0.880 | $9.94 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 74.71 | $0.134 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?Yes | buy | 248.96 | $0.040 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.035 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETDown | buy | 11.54 | $0.860 | $9.93 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 17.4 | $0.557 | $9.7 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown | buy | 20.17 | $0.480 | $9.69 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | buy | 17.95 | $0.540 | $9.69 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETDown | buy | 20.62 | $0.470 | $9.69 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp | buy | 36.32 | $0.270 | $9.81 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 13.1 | $0.750 | $9.82 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETDown | buy | 20.62 | $0.470 | $9.69 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp | buy | 18.63 | $0.520 | $9.69 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 6.61 | $0.150 | $0.99 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Named storm forms before hurricane season?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 24.17 | $0.414 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 15?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 52.71 | $0.190 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 23.1 | $0.420 | $9.7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 31.7 | $0.308 | $9.77 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 20.39 | $0.475 | $9.69 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | sell | 33.03 | $0.910 | $30.06 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 13.92 | $0.350 | $4.87 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 18.63 | $0.520 | $9.69 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | buy | 5.82 | $0.170 | $0.99 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown | buy | 22.04 | $0.440 | $9.7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETDown | buy | 23.68 | $0.410 | $9.71 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp | buy | 19.77 | $0.490 | $9.69 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 15.93 | $0.610 | $9.72 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown | buy | 17.02 | $0.570 | $9.7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown | buy | 12.79 | $0.380 | $4.86 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown | buy | 20.49 | $0.240 | $4.92 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 13?Up | buy | 20.82 | $0.480 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 14?Yes | buy | 45.78 | $0.218 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |