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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 52.5 | $0.995 | $52.48 | +$0.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 21?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.927 | $2.4 | Apr 20, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 16.09 |
| $0.870 |
| $15.21 |
| +$1.21 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 9.76 | $0.717 | $9.22 | +$2.22 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 7.87 | $0.890 | $7.43 | +$0.43 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5.74 | +$0.74 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5.61 | +$0.61 |
| buy |
| 8.19 |
| $0.974 |
| $7.98 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 20?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.920 | $4.96 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.52 | $0.840 | $2.12 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionYes | buy | 7.15 | $0.979 | $7 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.955 | $3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No | buy | 9.76 | $0.717 | $7 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?No | sell | 7.75 | $0.964 | $7.47 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | sell | 13.97 | $0.900 | $12.57 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?No | buy | 7.76 | $0.986 | $7.65 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | buy | 13.98 | $0.930 | $13 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No | buy | 7.87 | $0.890 | $7 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.840 | $7 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 165 and 179 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.908 | $3 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 16.09 | $0.870 | $14 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.939 | $7 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 17.39 | $0.920 | $16 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by January 31?Yes | sell | 899.99 | $0.016 | $14.45 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | sell | 13.22 | $0.982 | $12.98 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Shop: All your favorite brands be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?No | sell | 17.2 | $0.860 | $14.79 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?No | sell | 17.2 | $0.923 | $15.88 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No | sell | 20.2 | $0.994 | $20.08 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 48 | $0.994 | $47.71 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?No | buy | 11.19 | $0.983 | $11 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?No | buy | 17.21 | $0.988 | $17 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Shop: All your favorite brands be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?No | buy | 17.2 | $0.930 | $16 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 13.22 | $0.983 | $13 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on November 15?No | buy | 100.4 | $0.996 | $100 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 15 2025?No | buy | 47.05 | $0.999 | $47 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?No | sell | 31.93 | $0.935 | $29.85 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.080 | $1.14 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before 2026?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.910 | $3.37 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.480 | $6.72 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.480 | $20.64 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on October 8?No | buy | 15.41 | $0.999 | $15.39 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 54.74 | $0.950 | $52 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 75°F or higher on October 8?No | buy | 60.12 | $0.998 | $60 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by less than 30%?No | sell | 39.27 | $0.999 | $39.23 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 6?No | buy | 29.53 | $0.994 | $29.35 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on October 6?No | buy | 55.11 | $0.998 | $55 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30?No | sell | 49.63 | $0.940 | $46.65 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Applied Digital (APLD) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Oct 6, 2025 |