Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.997 | $13.47 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 13.49 |
| $0.999 |
| $13.48 |
| Apr 30, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | buy | 13.49 | $0.984 | $13.27 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.27 | $0.991 | $13.15 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)Yes | buy | 13.15 | $0.998 | $13.12 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.12 | $0.999 | $13.11 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?No | buy | 13.06 | $0.993 | $12.97 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 13.02 | $0.987 | $12.85 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 12.53 | $0.999 | $12.52 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 2, 2026?No | buy | 12.51 | $0.999 | $12.5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.996 | $12.45 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No | buy | 12.46 | $0.998 | $12.43 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?No | buy | 12.43 | $0.975 | $12.12 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes | buy | 12.12 | $0.999 | $12.11 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.999 | $12.09 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?No | buy | 12.09 | $0.900 | $10.88 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?No | buy | 10.88 | $0.996 | $10.84 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3)LNG Esports | buy | 10.84 | $0.999 | $10.83 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 15?Yes | buy | 10.83 | $0.999 | $10.82 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Next US strike on Syria on December 13?No | buy | 10.82 | $0.999 | $10.81 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 25% by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.8 | $0.995 | $10.75 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will "Disgraziad" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.994 | $10.69 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday over 20%?No | buy | 10.69 | $0.980 | $10.48 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during Bill Signing on December 12?No | buy | 10.48 | $0.998 | $10.46 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.995 | $10.41 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.41 | $0.986 | $10.26 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.989 | $10.15 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Rambo" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?Yes | buy | 10.15 | $0.999 | $10.14 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3 °C on December 6?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.999 | $10.13 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.999 | $10.12 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.993 | $10.05 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.999 | $10.04 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.994 | $9.98 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 10.03 | $0.995 | $9.98 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 10.03 | $0.996 | $9.99 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.920 | $9.19 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.992 | $9.11 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.016 | $0.35 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?Yes | buy | 109.09 | $0.999 | $108.98 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 5 billion?Yes | buy | 20.21 | $0.990 | $20.01 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 5 billion?Yes | buy | 88.77 | $0.990 | $87.88 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?Yes | buy | 688.58 | $0.998 | $687.2 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on October 31?No | buy | 87.88 | $0.999 | $87.79 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.998 | $5.01 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Atlas introduce ads by October 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Fuck" or "Fucking" 3+ times during South Park e6 s27?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump issue 0 executive order in the week of October 10?Yes | buy | 1.97 | $0.986 | $1.94 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 6-12?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.996 | $1.94 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7PM ETDown | buy | 439 | $0.960 | $421.44 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will the announcers say "One Handed" during Jets vs Dolphins game? (September 29)No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Sep 30, 2025 |