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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | No | 13.2 | $0.480 | $10.03 | +$3.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 11.18 |
| $0.610 |
| $7.32 |
| +$0.5 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 9.13 | $0.720 | $5.89 | -$0.68 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.45 | $0.400 | $5.78 | +$1.2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.65 | $0.790 | $5.47 | -$0.57 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9.61 | $0.560 | $5.43 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.77 | $0.440 | $4.34 | +$0.48 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 13.2 | $0.400 | $2.84 | -$2.44 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 8.1 | $0.270 | $2.35 | +$0.16 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 3.75 | $0.480 | $2.12 | +$0.32 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.5 | $0.340 | $2.06 | -$0.49 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? | Yes | 10.95 | $0.639 | $2.01 | -$4.99 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 8.75 | $0.210 | $1.97 | +$0.13 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.500 | $1.82 | -$4.06 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 7 | $0.230 | $1.3 | -$0.31 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.86 | $0.790 | $1.28 | -$5.71 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.210 | $1.16 | -$0.52 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 2.52 | $0.560 | $1.12 | -$0.29 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.85 | $0.300 | $0.94 | -$2.02 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 6 | $0.220 | $0.63 | -$0.69 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 7.1 | $0.700 | $0.53 | -$4.44 |
| buy |
| 10.66 |
| $0.650 |
| $6.93 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.560 | $1.41 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.650 | $1.98 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.680 | $6.9 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.84 | $0.750 | $5.13 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.380 | $4.18 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.120 | $1.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.640 | $1.92 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.480 | $1.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.710 | $1.98 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.410 | $4.51 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.36 | $0.220 | $1.4 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.45 | $0.400 | $4.58 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.700 | $4.97 | May 28, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?Up | buy | 10.97 | $0.640 | $7.02 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 9.13 | $0.720 | $6.57 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.340 | $2.55 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?Yes | buy | 9.08 | $0.238 | $2.16 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.210 | $1.68 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.380 | $4.18 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 74% and 75%?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.230 | $1.84 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.230 | $1.84 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.230 | $1.61 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 10.25 | $0.320 | $3.28 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.710 | $7.02 | May 14, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 11.18 | $0.610 | $6.82 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.18 | $0.610 | $6.82 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of May 11 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.370 | $2.96 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 8.63 | $0.650 | $5.61 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.2 | $0.400 | $5.28 | May 12, 2026 |
 Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 12?Down | buy | 10.15 | $0.660 | $6.7 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $98 Week of May 11 2026?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.730 | $5.92 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 7.65 | $0.790 | $6.04 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of May 11 2026?Yes | buy | 10.17 | $0.600 | $6.1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of May 11 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 9.36 | $0.640 | $5.99 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | buy | 13.2 | $0.480 | $6.34 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?No | buy | 12.49 | $0.450 | $5.62 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | buy | 6.66 | $0.260 | $1.73 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.210 | $1.84 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.290 | $1.85 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.500 | $5.88 | Apr 25, 2026 |