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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.140 | $56 | Dec 30, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 35.13 |
| $0.970 |
| $34.08 |
| Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 120.29 | $0.120 | $14.43 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week (November 24–30)?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Trump apologize for his 'punishable by DEATH' post by November 30?Yes | buy | 129.97 | $0.054 | $7 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | sell | 747.91 | $0.023 | $17.2 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 25.71 | $0.350 | $9 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?No | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.976 | $24.4 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1No | sell | 3.52 | $0.008 | $0.03 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 747.92 | $0.024 | $17.95 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 18.47 | $0.972 | $17.95 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 120.29 | $0.170 | $20.45 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.049 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?No | buy | 35.13 | $0.604 | $21.22 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 261.11 | $0.027 | $7 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.019 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Steroid" in November?No | buy | 12.73 | $0.550 | $7 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will another Louvre heist robber be arrested by October 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1No | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?No | buy | 15.45 | $0.259 | $4 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.280 | $6 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.939 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 30.14 | $0.066 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 272.22 | $0.007 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?No | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 18.47 | $0.812 | $15 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?Yes | buy | 42.5 | $0.118 | $5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.133 | $5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $200 in August?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 34.92 | $0.120 | $4.19 | Aug 8, 2025 |