Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?Yes | sell | 26.61 | $0.003 | $0.08 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 136.75 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.14 |
| Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 80.74 | $0.002 | $0.16 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.003 | $0.12 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Yes | sell | 21.36 | $0.235 | $5.01 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?Yes | buy | 36.34 | $0.145 | $5.27 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.064 | $2.21 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?No | sell | 53.35 | $0.003 | $0.14 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 133.44 | $0.075 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 640.42 | $0.017 | $10.89 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.132 | $12.04 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.19 | $0.495 | $21.86 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Yes | sell | 85.58 | $0.269 | $23.02 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 151.3 | $0.097 | $14.61 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.129 | $1.29 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.213 | $6.09 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.278 | $8.68 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 640.43 | $0.047 | $30.1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 242.81 | $0.001 | $0.24 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 136.76 | $0.037 | $5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?No | buy | 53.35 | $0.094 | $5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 54.33 | $0.920 | $49.98 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.61 | $0.090 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Yes | buy | 21.37 | $0.234 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Yes | buy | 85.59 | $0.058 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 227.27 | $0.017 | $3.77 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 51.28 | $0.012 | $0.62 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.040 | $0.46 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 89.41 | $0.021 | $1.88 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Yes | sell | 73.11 | $0.003 | $0.22 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 106.31 | $0.030 | $3.19 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 241.88 | $0.028 | $6.76 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes | sell | 97.55 | $0.026 | $2.54 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.030 | $0.65 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Yes | sell | 104.16 | $0.010 | $1.02 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.021 | $0.75 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.77 | $0.013 | $0.68 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 8?Up | sell | 57.67 | $0.030 | $1.73 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes | buy | 29.56 | $0.338 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |