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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 0.91 | $0.840 | $0.87 | +$0.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.040 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.49 |
| $0.310 |
| $0.78 |
| +$0.01 |
 Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 3.98 | $0.031 | $0.31 | +$0.19 |
 Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 3.34 | $0.120 | $0.25 | -$0.15 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 5.97 | $0.140 | $0.23 | -$0.61 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 0.18 | $0.840 | $0.18 | +$0.02 |
 Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 3.89 | $0.043 | $0.17 | +$0.01 |
 Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 3.38 | $0.120 | $0.14 | -$0.26 |
 Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.51 | $0.216 | $0.12 | +$0 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 6.89 | $0.038 | $0.1 | -$0.16 |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.049 | $0.08 | +$0.03 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 0.65 | $0.150 | $0.07 | -$0.03 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.110 | $0.06 | -$0.04 |
 Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 1.11 | $0.090 | $0.05 | -$0.05 |
 Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 2.1 | $0.038 | $0.05 | -$0.03 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.92 | $0.070 | $0.05 | -$0.01 |
 Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.89 | $0.090 | $0.05 | -$0.03 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.51 | $0.141 | $0.05 | -$0.02 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 1.97 | $0.029 | $0.04 | -$0.01 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 0.74 | $0.150 | $0.04 | -$0.07 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? | Yes | 1.03 | $0.070 | $0.04 | -$0.03 |
 Remote IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.38 | $0.170 | $0.04 | -$0.02 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 0.56 | $0.370 | $0.04 | -$0.17 |
 Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 0.8 | $0.090 | $0.04 | -$0.04 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.98 | $0.070 | $0.03 | -$0.03 |
| sell |
| 0.26 |
| $0.038 |
| $0.01 |
| Feb 26, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.029 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.080 | $0.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.025 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.031 | $0.03 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.48 | $0.120 | $0.06 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.61 | $0.086 | $0.05 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.032 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.051 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Kyle Langford advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.023 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.100 | $0.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.050 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.037 | $0.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.034 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.74 | $0.026 | $0.02 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 0.42 | $0.022 | $0.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.033 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.023 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.037 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.079 | $0.02 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.003 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | sell | 1.34 | $0.001 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.037 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 40% by March 31?Yes | sell | 0.21 | $0.048 | $0.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.037 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.033 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.034 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.032 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.023 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.022 | $0.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.71 | $0.025 | $0.02 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.040 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.037 | $0.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | sell | 1.22 | $0.033 | $0.04 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.015 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.029 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.100 | $0.02 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.054 | $0.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.69 | $0.085 | $0.06 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.080 | $0.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.025 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | sell | 4.05 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Kyle Langford advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.024 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.050 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.029 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.038 | $0.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.034 | $0 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 0.46 | $0.022 | $0.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.78 | $0.025 | $0.02 | Feb 26, 2026 |