Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 156.68 | $0.807 | $132.63 | +$6.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.630 | $4.5 | 5d ago |
|
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.313 |
| $82.6 |
| +$20 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 82.03 | $0.686 | $75.06 | +$18.76 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.500 | $71 | -$29 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 42.19 | $0.237 | $39.01 | +$29.01 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 39.32 | $0.740 | $29.69 | +$0.59 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 155.74 | $0.195 | $21.02 | -$9.27 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.380 | $20 | -$18 |
 Will Russia enter Borova by September 30? | Yes | 138.88 | $0.167 | $14.58 | -$8.62 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.510 | $14.5 | -$36.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 97.21 | $0.187 | $14.1 | -$4.07 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 272.99 | $0.060 | $14.06 | -$2.27 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 13.33 | $0.750 | $13.13 | +$3.13 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 14.21 | $0.690 | $12.86 | +$3.06 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 28.26 | $0.210 | $8.9 | +$2.97 |
 Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 44.99 | $0.264 | $8.55 | -$3.34 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.480 | $8.5 | -$39.5 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 36.11 | $0.166 | $7.58 | +$1.59 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 120 | $0.042 | $5.28 | +$0.24 |
 Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.99 | $0.500 | $3.85 | +$1.86 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.22 | $0.295 | $3.2 | -$1 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 18.45 | $0.542 | $1.39 | -$8.61 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 7.84 | $0.210 | $0.17 | -$1.48 |
| buy |
| 7.14 |
| $0.350 |
| $2.5 |
| 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.750 | $5.3 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.08 | $0.240 | $1.7 | 5d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | 15d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | 18d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.313 | $62.6 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.160 | $1.13 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.170 | $1.2 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.160 | $1.13 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.170 | $1.2 | 18d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.170 | $1.2 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.160 | $1.13 | 18d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp | buy | 19.99 | $0.470 | $9.4 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.160 | $1.13 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.170 | $1.2 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.160 | $1.13 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.170 | $1.2 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.160 | $1.13 | 18d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.170 | $1.2 | 18d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 39.32 | $0.740 | $29.1 | 19d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.828 | $82.8 | 19d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.160 | $1.13 | 21d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.160 | $1.13 | 21d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.160 | $1.13 | 21d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.160 | $1.13 | 21d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.160 | $1.13 | 21d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.12 | $0.160 | $1.14 | 21d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.12 | $0.160 | $1.14 | 21d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.170 | $1.2 | 24d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.170 | $1.2 | 24d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.170 | $1.2 | 24d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 364.82 | $0.027 | $10 | 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 18.45 | $0.542 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | 29d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | 29d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | 29d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.740 | $5.51 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.45 | $0.200 | $1.49 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.08 | $0.240 | $1.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.08 | $0.240 | $1.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.05 | $0.210 | $1.48 | Aug 7, 2026 |