Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 197.76 | $0.170 | $33.62 | 28d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes| sell |
| 9.12K |
| $0.004 |
| $36.47 |
| 28d ago |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 174.46 | $0.280 | $48.85 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | buy | 226.67 | $0.300 | $68 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 97.56 | $0.697 | $67.96 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 103.51 | $0.497 | $51.42 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 97.56 | $0.410 | $40 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 857.14 | $0.007 | $6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.85K | $0.013 | $76 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 103.52 | $0.449 | $46.46 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.27K | $0.015 | $50 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 102.67 | $0.068 | $7 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 270.83 | $0.200 | $54.17 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 139.8 | $0.381 | $53.26 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 139.8 | $0.253 | $35.37 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes | buy | 32.1 | $0.390 | $12.52 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.264 | $24 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 270.83 | $0.240 | $65 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 259.91 | $0.142 | $37 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 24?Up | sell | 111.9 | $0.260 | $29.09 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 24?Up | buy | 111.9 | $0.420 | $47 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.160 | $160 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 180 | $0.290 | $52.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 180 | $0.340 | $61.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.620 | $40 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Dani Olmo: 1+ assists AND Lionel Messi: 2+ assists | buy | 793.33 | $0.012 | $9.52 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | buy | 397.08 | $0.024 | $9.53 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ assists AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 5.5 Corners AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | buy | 872.91 | $0.011 | $9.52 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 Corners AND Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina? | buy | 433.18 | $0.022 | $9.53 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 497.51 | $0.185 | $92.09 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 497.51 | $0.201 | $100 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.130 | $130 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 999.97 | $0.160 | $160 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | buy | 25.87 | $0.024 | $0.62 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.887 | $6.21 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.6 | $0.830 | $17.1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 231.37 | $0.001 | $0.23 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 575 | $0.001 | $0.58 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 545 | $0.001 | $0.55 | Jun 30, 2026 |