Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 905.98 | $0.883 | $871.1 | +$71.1 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 34.13 | $0.879 | $30 | Jul 19, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 595.24 |
| $0.840 |
| $532.74 |
| +$32.74 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | No | 116.24 | $0.860 | $108.86 | +$8.86 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 112.36 | $0.890 | $106.18 | +$6.18 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 90.91 | $0.880 | $89.32 | +$9.32 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 56.88 | $0.879 | $55.35 | +$5.35 |
| buy |
| 22.75 |
| $0.879 |
| $20 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.680 | $20.4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.440 | $30 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.440 | $50 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 595.24 | $0.840 | $500 | May 10, 2026 |
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | May 10, 2026 |
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?No | buy | 55.72 | $0.897 | $50 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 217.63 | $0.919 | $200 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 12.75 | $0.410 | $5.23 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 19.92 | $0.502 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 21.05 | $0.960 | $20.21 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 27.43 | $0.729 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 103.31 | $0.968 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.95 | $0.900 | $9.86 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.880 | $40 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.880 | $40 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.730 | $4 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | sell | 244.89 | $0.480 | $117.55 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 244.9 | $0.490 | $120 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 29.5 | $0.920 | $27.14 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 13.89 | $0.880 | $12.22 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.880 | $48.88 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.280 | $14.74 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 75.48 | $0.870 | $65.67 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 72.46 | $0.953 | $69.05 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 10.94 | $0.881 | $9.64 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Yes | sell | 17.54 | $0.550 | $9.65 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.882 | $5 | Sep 22, 2025 |