Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 171.14 | $0.812 | $148.04 | +$9.02 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 20.25 | $0.460 | $9.32 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 152.12 |
| $0.783 |
| $129.38 |
| +$10.32 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 148.76 | $0.818 | $128.68 | +$6.99 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 96.37 | $0.872 | $95.74 | +$11.7 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 85.9 | $0.862 | $84.57 | +$10.53 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 60.86 | $0.930 | $57.21 | +$0.61 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 52.53 | $0.441 | $45.96 | +$22.77 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 122.76 | $0.382 | $43.58 | -$3.32 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 50.93 | $0.869 | $42.53 | -$1.71 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 74.19 | $0.568 | $38.95 | -$3.21 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 52.92 | $0.691 | $38.1 | +$1.56 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 57.81 | $0.640 | $37.49 | +$0.51 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 37.61 | $0.876 | $36.43 | +$3.49 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 58.88 | $0.653 | $35.45 | -$2.98 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 51.51 | $0.596 | $33.22 | +$2.51 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 82.64 | $0.401 | $32.89 | -$0.29 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 45.46 | $0.781 | $32.73 | -$2.76 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 50.1 | $0.650 | $32.31 | -$0.25 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | Yes | 73.01 | $0.274 | $29.93 | +$9.91 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 38.87 | $0.657 | $29.35 | +$3.8 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 32.01 | $0.843 | $29.29 | +$2.31 |
 Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 69.13 | $0.459 | $28 | -$3.71 |
 Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | No | 52.64 | $0.544 | $26.58 | -$2.07 |
 Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 65.68 | $0.275 | $26.24 | +$8.19 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 27.99 | $0.890 | $26.17 | +$1.26 |
| buy |
| 1.32 |
| $0.820 |
| $1.08 |
| 1h ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 21.83 | $0.490 | $10.7 | 1h ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.13 | $0.500 | $1.07 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.560 | $2.71 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 2.31 | $0.690 | $1.59 | 2h ago |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 36.17 | $0.418 | $15.12 | 3h ago |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 20.68 | $0.610 | $12.61 | 4h ago |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 19.79 | $0.605 | $11.97 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 5.28 | $0.310 | $1.64 | 4h ago |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 39.04 | $0.170 | $6.64 | 5h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 17.71 | $0.150 | $2.66 | 5h ago |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 13.55 | $0.170 | $2.3 | 5h ago |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.180 | $1.21 | 5h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 17.71 | $0.170 | $3.01 | 5h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.5 | $0.640 | $2.24 | 5h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 11.77 | $0.502 | $5.9 | 5h ago |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.180 | $1.36 | 5h ago |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 11.47 | $0.279 | $3.2 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 3.76 | $0.510 | $1.92 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 9.21 | $0.510 | $4.7 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 15.3 | $0.510 | $7.8 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 21.11 | $0.510 | $10.77 | 6h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | buy | 26.88 | $0.460 | $12.36 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.880 | $1.12 | 6h ago |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 4.54 | $0.420 | $1.91 | 6h ago |
 Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?No | sell | 7.3 | $0.520 | $3.8 | 6h ago |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 23.22 | $0.490 | $11.38 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 24.9 | $0.310 | $7.72 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.59 | $0.830 | $17.92 | 7h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 18.59 | $0.780 | $14.5 | 7h ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 0.61 | $0.720 | $0.44 | 7h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 25.53 | $0.540 | $13.79 | 7h ago |
| Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?No | sell | 3.53 | $0.500 | $1.77 | 7h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 24.2 | $0.110 | $2.66 | 8h ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.22 | $0.600 | $9.73 | 8h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 15.64 | $0.850 | $13.29 | 8h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 24.2 | $0.304 | $7.37 | 8h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 48.41 | $0.270 | $13.07 | 10h ago |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.200 | $1.75 | 11h ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.710 | $1.58 | 12h ago |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.310 | $2.35 | 12h ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.710 | $3.46 | 16h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.8 | $0.600 | $11.88 | 16h ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 13.91 | $0.720 | $10.02 | 17h ago |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 11.55 | $0.940 | $10.86 | 18h ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.63 | $0.394 | $6.55 | 20h ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.69 | $0.400 | $5.88 | 20h ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No | buy | 49.37 | $0.400 | $19.75 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.19 | $0.610 | $9.88 | 23h ago |