Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.998 | $3.48 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 18.22 |
| $0.999 |
| $18.2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 16.43 | $0.998 | $16.4 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.56 | $0.996 | $18.49 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 21.18 | $0.997 | $21.12 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 18.39 | $0.989 | $18.19 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 14.15 | $0.998 | $14.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 4.96 | $0.998 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 72.33 | $0.988 | $71.46 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No | buy | 76.19 | $0.994 | $75.73 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 30.6 | $0.997 | $30.51 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No | buy | 21.88 | $0.999 | $21.86 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 36.09 | $0.999 | $36.05 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.994 | $35.5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No | buy | 15.45 | $0.998 | $15.42 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.73 | $0.994 | $18.62 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.9 | $0.961 | $34.5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 34.22 | $0.944 | $32.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 64.28 | $0.998 | $64.15 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 23.96 | $0.999 | $23.94 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.01 | $0.940 | $26.33 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 303.41 | $0.150 | $45.51 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 41 | $0.983 | $40.3 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 164.44 | $0.009 | $1.48 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 197.2 | $0.025 | $4.93 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 147.49 | $0.680 | $100.29 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 155.93 | $0.690 | $107.59 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | sell | 908.73 | $0.272 | $247.45 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.86 | $0.993 | $5.82 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.08 | $0.169 | $5.59 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 908.73 | $0.133 | $120.78 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No | buy | 105.59 | $0.987 | $104.22 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 239.29 | $0.014 | $3.35 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 124.99 | $0.980 | $122.49 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 96.97 | $0.994 | $96.39 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 96.97 | $0.995 | $96.49 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 121.65 | $0.997 | $121.29 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 121.65 | $0.998 | $121.41 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 127.42 | $0.996 | $126.91 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 127.43 | $0.996 | $126.92 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 128.47 | $0.999 | $128.34 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 128.48 | $0.999 | $128.35 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 127.05 | $0.997 | $126.67 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.992 | $1.09 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 127.05 | $0.998 | $126.8 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 111.14 | $0.997 | $110.81 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 111.14 | $0.998 | $110.92 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No | buy | 18.92 | $0.999 | $18.9 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 130.25 | $0.996 | $129.73 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?No | buy | 3.84 | $0.999 | $3.84 | May 29, 2025 |