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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 22.28 | $0.930 | $20.72 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 61.95 |
| $0.500 |
| $30.98 |
| Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.55K | $0.003 | $4.84 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 46.61 | $0.160 | $7.46 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 246.28 | $0.079 | $19.36 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 46.62 | $0.390 | $18.18 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 303.07 | $0.060 | $18.18 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 246.29 | $0.070 | $17.24 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 22.29 | $0.770 | $17.16 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.999 | $15.13 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 303.08 | $0.066 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 177.89 | $0.180 | $32.02 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 61.95 | $0.220 | $13.63 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.870 | $15 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.94 | $0.170 | $7.64 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 6.94 | $0.490 | $3.4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 56.19 | $0.210 | $11.8 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Flamengo beat LAFC?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 318.04 | $0.100 | $31.8 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 58.3 | $0.400 | $23.32 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 194.34 | $0.120 | $23.32 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 134.45 | $0.420 | $56.47 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 62.64 | $0.450 | $28.19 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 62.64 | $0.450 | $28.19 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40.5 | $0.120 | $4.86 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 993.91 | $0.020 | $20 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 559.22 | $0.019 | $10.9 | Jun 16, 2025 |