Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 270 | $0.270 | $72.9 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.280 |
| $28 |
| May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | May 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.100 | $6.5 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 31.03 | $0.370 | $11.48 | May 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.150 | $5.85 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.530 | $9.01 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 34.31 | $0.382 | $13.11 | May 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | sell | 17 | $0.976 | $16.59 | May 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.870 | $42.63 | May 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.380 | $14.82 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.710 | $19.88 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.450 | $14.85 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 17 | $0.850 | $14.45 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.700 | $14.7 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.460 | $14.72 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 34.31 | $0.436 | $14.96 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.840 | $14.28 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 31.03 | $0.450 | $13.96 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.520 | $14.56 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.360 | $12.6 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.015 | $0.24 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.470 | $14.1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 21 | $0.680 | $14.28 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 40 | $0.640 | $25.6 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | sell | 17 | $0.780 | $13.26 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.310 | $4.96 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 30 | $0.570 | $17.1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 24 | $0.620 | $14.88 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.690 | $13.11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.500 | $19.5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.490 | $12.25 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.580 | $14.5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.430 | $12.9 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.880 | $10.56 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.760 | $14.44 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.900 | $7.2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 17 | $0.850 | $14.45 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.630 | $14.49 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 30 | $0.650 | $19.5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.670 | $18.09 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.510 | $19.89 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 21 | $0.690 | $14.49 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.420 | $14.7 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.740 | $19.98 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.710 | $17.75 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.520 | $14.56 | Apr 23, 2026 |