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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 25.66 | $0.018 | $0.46 | Feb 18, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 101.87 |
| $0.191 |
| $19.49 |
| Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 974.34 | $0.020 | $19.49 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 425.13 | $0.160 | $68.02 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.015 | $15 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 695.65 | $0.115 | $80 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 925.93 | $0.054 | $50 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 870.87 | $0.023 | $20 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 315.84 | $0.130 | $41.06 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 687.26 | $0.024 | $16.8 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 687.26 | $0.029 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 592.41 | $0.051 | $30 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.052 | $155 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 315.85 | $0.127 | $40.06 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 253.41 | $0.219 | $55.55 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.050 | $55.56 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 361.58 | $0.190 | $68.7 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.090 | $100 | Jan 10, 2026 |