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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.998 | $1.54 | Dec 26, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.68 |
| $0.995 |
| $1.67 |
| Dec 26, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.980 | $1.52 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.969 | $1.56 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.998 | $1.5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.998 | $1.37 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.988 | $1.43 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.984 | $1.45 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.991 | $1.46 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.978 | $1.55 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.998 | $1.65 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.965 | $1.6 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.960 | $1.37 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 4.13 | $0.969 | $4 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.907 | $1.22 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.998 | $1.2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.990 | $1.6 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.999 | $1.89 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.999 | $1.77 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $350 in September?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.998 | $2.5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.998 | $1.67 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.997 | $2.22 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.987 | $4 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.991 | $2.48 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.990 | $2.48 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.59 | $0.962 | $3.45 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.998 | $1.54 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 2.66 | $0.996 | $2.65 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.966 | $4.2 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.932 | $9.5 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.959 | $9 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 7.34 | $0.954 | $7 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.994 | $3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.959 | $19.18 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.959 | $5.37 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 5.59 | $0.948 | $5.3 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.945 | $5.4 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.963 | $5.3 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 5.83 | $0.961 | $5.6 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.016 | $16 | Nov 25, 2024 |
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.018 | $21.6 | Nov 24, 2024 |
Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.019 | $19 | Nov 24, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.021 | $50.4 | Nov 24, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.944 | $991.2 | Nov 24, 2024 |