Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 990 | $0.960 | $967.73 | +$17.33 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 1.8 | $0.581 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 50.71 |
| $0.701 |
| $42.85 |
| +$7.31 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 19.84 | $0.870 | $18.81 | +$1.55 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 12.89 | $0.825 | $12.65 | +$2.01 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 5.03 | $0.730 | $4.91 | +$1.24 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 2.97 | $0.780 | $0.67 | -$1.65 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 0.21 | $0.326 | $0.05 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 44.52 |
| $0.940 |
| $41.85 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 49.08 | $0.090 | $4.42 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 20.25 | $0.880 | $17.82 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 9.89 | $0.920 | $9.1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.920 | $6.82 | May 10, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | sell | 99.01 | $0.380 | $37.62 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 0.62 | $0.910 | $0.56 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.910 | $0.99 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.290 | $2.87 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.920 | $5.06 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.24 | $0.008 | $0.3 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 225.01 | $0.210 | $47.25 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.2 | $0.920 | $6.62 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.560 | $7.3 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.560 | $1.8 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.570 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.170 | $3.74 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.180 | $9.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 19.8 | $0.340 | $6.73 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.97 | $0.780 | $2.32 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.5 | $0.270 | $13.37 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.170 | $1.68 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.910 | $0.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.910 | $0.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No | sell | 3.21 | $0.950 | $3.05 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.91 | $0.300 | $2.07 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 99.01 | $0.950 | $94.06 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No | buy | 9.9 | $0.910 | $9.01 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 39.6 | $0.370 | $14.65 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.01 | $0.060 | $5.94 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 79.2 | $0.015 | $1.19 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |