Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 971.77 | $0.526 | $811.43 | +$300.18 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 3.73 | $0.510 | $1.9 | Mar 16, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 1.12K |
| $0.493 |
| $191.24 |
| -$363.92 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 152.13 | $0.660 | $140.72 | +$40.31 |
| buy |
| 3.77 |
| $0.530 |
| $2 |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.530 | $15.9 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 31 | $0.510 | $15.81 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 600 | $0.510 | $306 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 600 | $0.530 | $317.88 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 200.1 | $0.510 | $102.05 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 30 | $0.280 | $8.4 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.360 | $10.8 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 138 | $0.518 | $71.47 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 138 | $0.508 | $70.08 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 10?Yes | buy | 812 | $0.001 | $0.81 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?Yes | buy | 812 | $0.982 | $797.38 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 10?Yes | buy | 812 | $0.001 | $0.81 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 10?Yes | buy | 812 | $0.002 | $1.62 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 10?Yes | buy | 812 | $0.013 | $10.87 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | sell | 5.9 | $0.380 | $2.24 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 5.5 | $0.640 | $3.52 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.890 | $6.23 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.110 | $0.77 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 7 | $0.640 | $4.48 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | sell | 7 | $0.380 | $2.66 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?Yes | buy | 314.85 | $0.750 | $235.99 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 165 | $0.390 | $64.35 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 164.63 | $0.660 | $108.66 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 239.54 | $0.660 | $158.1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 362.2 | $0.650 | $235.43 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 29.5 | $0.670 | $19.77 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 97 | $0.690 | $66.93 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.690 | $345 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.662 | $16.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 69.99 | $0.654 | $45.79 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 460.53 | $0.770 | $354.61 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 344.61 | $0.770 | $265.35 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionNo | buy | 333.45 | $0.520 | $173.33 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionNo | buy | 100 | $0.489 | $48.88 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 327.14 | $0.900 | $294.43 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 645.33 | $0.117 | $75.25 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 38 | $0.120 | $4.56 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 115.89 | $0.120 | $13.91 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 300 | $0.091 | $27.22 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 22 | $0.090 | $1.98 | Dec 26, 2025 |