Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2.6K | $0.910 | $2.52K | +$154.7 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?No | buy | 109.11 | $0.973 | $106.16 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2K |
| $0.960 |
| $1.91K |
| -$10 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.21K | $0.848 | $1.12K | +$86.75 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 1.2K | $0.890 | $1.07K | +$6 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1K | $0.770 | $984.5 | +$214.5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 999.99 | $0.963 | $972.99 | +$10 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 750 | $0.830 | $663.75 | +$41.25 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 572.58 | $0.972 | $568.57 | +$11.8 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 500 | $0.964 | $498.25 | +$16.25 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.940 | $491 | +$21 |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.940 | $475.75 | +$5.75 |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.920 | $457.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 500 | $0.870 | $447.5 | +$12.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.850 | $427.5 | +$2.5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.450 | $407.5 | +$182.5 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 500 | $0.580 | $372.5 | +$82.5 |
 Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | No | 273 | $0.985 | $270.82 | +$2.05 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 304.99 | $0.861 | $263.36 | +$0.76 |
| Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? | No | 221 | $0.999 | $220.67 | -$0.07 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | 217 | $0.961 | $215.48 | +$6.94 |
 Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 203 | $0.910 | $185.75 | +$1.02 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 180.83 | $0.930 | $169.07 | +$0.9 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.360 | $144.5 | -$215.5 |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 120 | $0.906 | $112.14 | +$3.46 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? | No | 109.11 | $0.973 | $107.69 | +$1.53 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.920 |
| $460 |
| 1d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 717 | $0.890 | $638.13 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.898 | $17.96 | 1d ago |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 304.99 | $0.861 | $262.6 | 1d ago |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 216.3 | $0.880 | $190.34 | 1d ago |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 82.77 | $0.980 | $81.11 | 1d ago |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.995 | $398 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.964 | $482 | 14d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.850 | $425 | 14d ago |
 UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)Umar Nurmagomedov | buy | 450 | $0.800 | $360 | 14d ago |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.980 | $490.18 | 14d ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.960 | $1.92K | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.48 | $0.830 | $7.87 | 14d ago |
 Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?No | buy | 155 | $0.960 | $148.8 | 22d ago |
 Will Toyohito Ikeda win the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.977 | $195.4 | 22d ago |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | sell | 269.5 | $0.001 | $0.29 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?No | sell | 3.2K | $0.002 | $6.4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?No | sell | 386.63 | $0.038 | $14.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?No | sell | 913.37 | $0.054 | $48.89 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No | sell | 854.99 | $0.916 | $783.17 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.999 | $249.75 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.900 | $720 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.980 | $147 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.996 | $99.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?No | buy | 75 | $0.999 | $74.93 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 44.3 | $0.840 | $37.21 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 57.65 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 217 | $0.961 | $208.54 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.986 | $295.74 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 101 | $0.910 | $91.91 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No | buy | 250 | $0.960 | $240 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No | buy | 125 | $0.993 | $124.13 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.987 | $19.84 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 49.97 | $0.910 | $45.47 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | sell | 957 | $0.750 | $717.76 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.760 | $152 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | sell | 228 | $0.760 | $173.3 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.800 | $28 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | sell | 1.75K | $0.890 | $1.56K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Yes | sell | 1.83K | $0.908 | $1.66K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Yes | sell | 1.64K | $0.904 | $1.48K | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 45 | $0.999 | $44.96 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 145 | $0.997 | $144.57 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.753 | $1.2K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Yes | buy | 333 | $0.986 | $328.34 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?No | buy | 159 | $0.996 | $158.36 | Jul 28, 2026 |