Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.280 | $4.29 | -$0.71 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | sell | 47.72 | $0.930 | $44.38 | Nov 5, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 47.73 |
| $0.440 |
| $21 |
| Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will “The Woman in Cabin 10” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 28)Yes | buy | 53.5 | $0.019 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.031 | $10 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Yes | buy | 288.15 | $0.035 | $10 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?Yes | buy | 267.46 | $0.037 | $10 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?No | buy | 11 | $0.909 | $10 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Interstellar object confirmed aliens?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.100 | $6 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.130 | $6 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 81.63 | $0.123 | $10 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will "Regretting You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will "Regretting You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.009 | $21 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 42.87 | $0.410 | $17.58 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 42.87 | $0.467 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?Yes | buy | 86.97 | $0.598 | $52 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Solana all time high before 2026?Yes | buy | 113.95 | $0.430 | $49 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.080 | $0.47 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?No | sell | 57.11 | $0.280 | $15.99 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.930 | $10.44 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025?Yes | sell | 165.07 | $0.019 | $3.07 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will the next James Bond be British?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.390 | $4 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?Yes | buy | 92.26 | $0.228 | $21 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Dogecoin all time high before 2026?Yes | buy | 26.37 | $0.190 | $5 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.340 | $15 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on July 24?Up | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 28?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $3,600 on July 25?Yes | buy | 32.89 | $0.608 | $20 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.43 | $0.383 | $4 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 X relaunches Vine in 2025?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Anthropic acquired in 2025?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?No | buy | 57.12 | $0.700 | $40 | Jul 23, 2025 |