Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown | buy | 3.73 | $0.520 | $1.94 | Jan 18, 2026 |
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| No |
| 1.46 |
| $0.686 |
| $1.32 |
| +$0.32 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.3 | +$0.3 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | No | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | Yes | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.85 | $0.540 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1.69 | $0.590 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
| buy |
| 1.59 |
| $0.630 |
| $1 |
| Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.686 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.795 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Washington Huskies vs. Seattle RedhawksWashington Huskies | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2025 Extremadura regional election?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.919 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.61 | $0.713 | $4 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |