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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 45 | $0.860 | $43.27 | +$4.57 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.999 | $31.97 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 28 |
| $0.942 |
| $27.31 |
| +$0.94 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 23.99 | $0.958 | $23.53 | +$0.55 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 38.3 | $0.241 | $20.87 | +$11.63 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 21 | $0.810 | $20.06 | +$3.05 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.932 | $19.83 | +$1.19 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 12.35 | $0.810 | $12.14 | +$2.14 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.390 | $6.75 | -$12.75 |
 OKX IPO in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.140 | $1.65 | -$2.55 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 229.89 | $0.011 | $0.34 | -$2.18 |
| buy |
| 21 |
| $0.810 |
| $17.01 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.969 | $14.54 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 23.99 | $0.958 | $22.98 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 38.3 | $0.241 | $9.24 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3.63 | $0.330 | $1.2 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 36.18 | $0.960 | $34.73 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 229.89 | $0.011 | $2.53 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.950 | $41.8 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| OKX IPO in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 45 | $0.860 | $38.7 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.994 | $34.79 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 55 | $0.999 | $54.95 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 81.73 | $0.994 | $81.24 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.080 | $111.76 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.932 | $18.64 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.983 | $21.63 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 28 | $0.942 | $26.38 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No | buy | 15 | $0.996 | $14.94 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.8K | $0.120 | $336 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 27.62 | $0.997 | $27.54 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.959 | $19.18 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.64 | $0.913 | $16.11 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 796.1 | $0.002 | $1.59 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.002 | $2.45 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?No | buy | 25.2 | $0.992 | $25 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 81.73 | $0.997 | $81.46 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 35.86 | $0.976 | $35 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?Yes | buy | 61.34 | $0.995 | $61.03 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 30.93 | $0.970 | $30 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Yes | buy | 36.68 | $0.044 | $1.61 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in October?Yes | buy | 119.33 | $0.004 | $0.51 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?No | buy | 20.55 | $0.973 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 12.79 | $0.770 | $9.85 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 49.21 | $0.996 | $49.01 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 882.21 | $0.002 | $1.76 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 20.66 | $0.968 | $20 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 548.04 | $0.003 | $1.64 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 42.59 | $0.992 | $42.25 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.992 | $59.52 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Linea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 49.94 | $0.026 | $1.32 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence CrawfordCanelo | buy | 15.06 | $0.630 | $9.49 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?No | buy | 70.05 | $0.030 | $2.1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.5 | $0.800 | $14 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 35.72 | $0.997 | $35.61 | Jul 16, 2025 |