Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $4.75 | -$0.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | May 18, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 3.41 |
| $0.880 |
| $2.98 |
| -$0.02 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 9.45 | $0.952 | $0.64 | -$8.36 |
| buy |
| 5.56 |
| $0.900 |
| $5 |
| May 18, 2026 |
 US bank failure by May 31?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 4.2 | $0.953 | $4 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.992 | $8 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?Yes | buy | 11.18 | $0.984 | $11 | May 18, 2026 |
 Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?No | buy | 8.16 | $0.978 | $7.98 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.978 | $6.98 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.27 | $0.997 | $9.24 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?No | buy | 9.06 | $0.993 | $9 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 11.07 | $0.994 | $11 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.996 | $12 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 39.5 | $0.969 | $38.28 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 17.74 | $0.985 | $17.47 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No | buy | 5.69 | $0.953 | $5.42 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 House passes Iran war powers resolution this week?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 53.39 | $0.974 | $52 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 8.48 | $0.943 | $8 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.45 | $0.947 | $8 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.985 | $7 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,800 January 12-18?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE (BO3)PARIVISION | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 9.45 | $0.952 | $9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 17.75 | $0.958 | $17 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?No | sell | 36.39 | $0.993 | $36.14 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?No | buy | 36.39 | $0.990 | $36.03 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.94 | $0.959 | $22 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 18.22 | $0.988 | $18 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Apple reach $352 in November?No | buy | 55.85 | $0.995 | $55.57 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by November 30?No | buy | 20.18 | $0.991 | $20 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 HasanAbi banned from Twitch by October 31?No | buy | 75.56 | $0.994 | $75.11 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Obama federally charged in 2025?No | buy | 17.2 | $0.948 | $16.31 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | buy | 20.3 | $0.985 | $20 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 17.07 | $0.820 | $14 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?No | buy | 12.59 | $0.953 | $12 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Another NATO article 4 by October 15?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.840 | $18 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?No | buy | 16.31 | $0.981 | $16 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk say "Tesla" during the August 6 AMA?No | sell | 20 | $0.256 | $5.11 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk say "xAI" 2 or more times during the August 6 AMA?No | sell | 6.09 | $0.118 | $0.72 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk say "Hitler/MechaHitler" during the August 6 AMA?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.060 | $0.33 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?No | buy | 21.06 | $0.997 | $21 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Ace Bailey traded before August?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 79°F or higher on July 31?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 OpenSea airdrop before July?No | buy | 13.48 | $0.999 | $13.47 | Jun 30, 2025 |