Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 165.45 | $0.825 | $154.7 | +$18.26 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 61.19 | $0.930 | $56.91 | 15d ago |
 |
| No |
| 16.85 |
| $0.890 |
| $16.15 |
| +$1.15 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13.21 | +$0.21 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.78 | +$0.78 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 10.93 | $0.860 | $10.33 | +$0.93 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | No | 7.59 | $0.923 | $7.13 | +$0.13 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 6.58 | $0.760 | $6.09 | +$1.09 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.17 | $0.810 | $4.78 | -$0.22 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $4.69 | -$0.31 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.34 | $0.899 | $3.14 | +$0.14 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | No | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3.12 | +$0.12 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $2.98 | -$2.02 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 3.49 | $0.860 | $2.91 | -$0.09 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.052 |
| $1.04 |
| 15d ago |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 23.25 | $0.050 | $1.16 | 15d ago |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.204 | $1.36 | 15d ago |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 14.13 | $0.926 | $13.08 | 15d ago |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 55.68 | $0.951 | $52.97 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.600 | $4.61 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.963 | $2.16 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.71 | $0.850 | $4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No | sell | 3.56 | $0.931 | $3.31 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.100 | $0.13 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.984 | $5.12 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.979 | $5.12 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 5.62 | $0.989 | $5.56 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.24 | $0.985 | $10.09 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | May 21, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ETUp | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.899 | $3 | May 21, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | May 21, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.68 | $0.910 | $30.65 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 33.07 | $0.925 | $30.59 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of the United Arab Emirates by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.900 | $5.33 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.910 | $3.24 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of the United Arab Emirates by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.25 | $0.976 | $10 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.956 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.930 | $5.23 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.942 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |